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“Let me know if there is anything else that you need from us. And, our research continues to help our subscribers grow their businesses! Most of their time is spent building and fostering relationships, not analyzing Fed commentary, studying the yield curve, or digging through an oil inventory report.Įvery trading day, at 7 a.m., we email our subscribers their morning Report, which contains the information they need to show their clients they are on top of the markets with a plan to outperform, regardless of the environment. They are discussing the financial goals of their clients and mapping a course to reach those goals. I created the Sevens Report because I know that most financial advisors and professionals are not glued to blinking screens from 9:00 – 4:00 each day. More broadly, is your subscription research breaking down the daily jargon and giving you explanations and analogies that help you impress clients?Ĭase in point, in Monday’s issue we told subscribers that Friday’s rally was misguided, so it didn’t surprise us, or our subscribers, that markets gave back those gains on Monday. Point being, last week’s vote, which was the catalyst for the Friday rally, didn’t improve the chances of tax cuts passing at all – it merely removed the prospect of spectacular failure!īut, the important truth is that right now, we should be more worried about tax cuts failing and causing a correction late this year, because tax cuts are already priced into the markets (I show you why below). “Hi Tom! I really enjoy your analogies in breaking down industry jargon…and this has to be one of my favorites, in terms of you describing the budget resolution being passed.” – A.L. The post Six Charts That Explain This Market from the Sevens Report appeared first on Sevens Report.

If I was stuck on a desert island (with an internet connection and access to my trading accounts of course) and could only have one indicator to watch to tell me when to reduce exposure in the markets, this 10’s – 2’s spread would be it – and it’s not sending positive signals for 2018! So, if this 10’s – 2’s spread continues to decline, and turns negative (inverts) then that will be a sign that investors need to begin to exit the stock market, because a serious recession is looming, and the Fed won’t have much ammunition to fight it.

Simply put, if we’re seeing accelerating economic growth, rising earnings, potential tax cuts and all these other positive market events, the yield curve should be steepening, not flattening. If the outlook for stocks is so positive, then why did the yield curve (represented here by the 10’s – 2’s Treasury yield spread) equal 2017 lows on Wednesday?

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